BERLIN, Feb. 7 (Xinhua) -- Phakathi kokungaqiniseki okukhulayo emhlabeni wonke ngo-2025, izinkampani zaseJalimane zinciphise ukutshalwa kwezimali e-United States futhi zagudela eChina, zikhuluma ngokubikeleka okukhulu kwezinqubomgomo kanye namandla okukhula.
NgokweGerman Economic Institute, ukutshalwa kwemali okuqondile kweJalimane e-United States kwehla ngaphezu kuka-45 percent unyaka nonyaka phakathi kukaFebhuwari noNovemba 2025, uma kuqhathaniswa nokukhuphuka okungaphezu kuka-50 percent kokutshalwa kwemali eChina.
Ushintsho lubonakala hhayi kuphela kudatha kodwa futhi nasemoyeni wezinkampani. Ezinkulumweni zakamuva ezenziwe eBerlin, eMunich nakwezinye izikhungo zebhizinisi, abaphathi beJalimane bachaze imakethe yase-U.S. ngamagama anokucophelela. "Ukungaqiniseki" sekube yisihloko esikhulu, njengoba izinkampani zihlupheka ukuhlela umbono wezepolitiki wesikhathi esiphakathi.
Ukungaqiniseki okukhulisiwe kunezimpempe ezithile ekutshalweni kwemali nasekuthengiseni, kusho uSamina Sultan, umnotho kwi-institute, ephawula ukuthi inqubomgomo yezeMali yase-U.S. yamanje iyanciphisa ukwethenjwa kwamabhizinisi futhi ibeka umthwalo ezixhumaneni zezeMali phakathi kwe-Atlantic, kancane kancane ihlisa ukuheha kwale ndawo njengendawo yokutshalwa kwemali yesikhathi eside.
Imiphumela yezezimali isivele iyabonakala. Ekhuluma emhlanganweni weWorld Economic Forum eDavos ngo-2026, uSihlalo weVolkswagen Group u-Oliver Blume uthe izindleko ezihlobene namarevenyu kwezangaphandle zehlise inzuzo yeqembu ngama-euro ayizigidi ezingu-2.1 (amadola aseMelika ayizigidi ezingu-2.48) ezingxenyeni ezintathu zokuqala zonyaka ka-2025.
Ngaphandle kokuncishiswa okubalulekile kwamarevenyu kwezangaphandle aseMelika, ukutshalwa kwezimali okwengeziwe kungaba nzima ukukugcina, futhi izinhlelo zesitshalo esisha se-Audi zingabambezeleka, kusho uBlume.
"Izinkampani zikwesaba kakhulu ukungazinzi kwezinqubomgomo kunanoma yini enye," kusho uHermann Simon, umfundisi wezomnotho waseJalimane odume kakhulu obhekwa njengoyise we theory ethi "Hidden Champions". Ukushintsha njalo kwezinqubomgomo zamarevenyu kwezangaphandle, kusho yena, kwenza kube nzima ukuthi izimakethe zakhe ukulindela okuzinzile, kunciphisa ukwethemba ekutshalweni kwezimali kwesikhathi eside.
Ngenxa yalokho, izinkampani eziningi zibeka phambili ukulawula ubungozi kunokwanda, zithatha izindlela zokuzivikela ezisekelwe ekuhlanganiseni kunokukhula, engeza.
Ngasikhathi sinye, ukukhanga kwe-China ezinkampanini zaseJalimani kuyaqhubeka nokuqina. Imininingwane evela ku-German Economic Institute ibonisa ukuthi utshalomali olusha lwe-German oluqondile e-China lwalufinyelela cishe kuma-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisikhombisa (amadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-8.26) ngo-2025, okwakukhuphuke kakhulu kunama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezi-4.5 (amadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-5.3) ngonyaka odlule.
U-Juergen Matthes, uchwepheshe esikhungweni, uphawule ukuthi izinkampani zaseJalimani azikwandisi nje ubukhona bazo e-China kodwa futhi ziyashesha ukutshala izimali.
UMichael Schumann, usihlalo weBhodi le-German Federal Association for Economic Development and Foreign Trade, ubeke lesi simo ngezimboni ezibanzi zase-China kanye nemvelo yenqubomgomo ezinzile, okuvumela izinkampani ukuthi zihlele phambili futhi zisebenze ngokuzethemba okukhulu.
Idatha yesikhathi eside iyakusekela le mbono. Ngokucaphuna izibalo ezivela kwi-Deutsche Bundesbank, isikhungo sithe phakathi kuka-2010 no-2024, ukutshalwa kwezimali okusha kwaseJalimane eShayina kwaba cishe kungama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisithupha (amakhulu ayizigidi eziyisikhombisa namashumi ayisishiyagalombili ezigidi zamadola), kanti isabelo esibalulekile sivela ekutshalweni kabusha kwezimali ezitholwe endaweni.
Okubaluleke kakhulu, izinkampani zaseJalimane zidlulela ngalé kokungena emakethe kwasekuqaleni ziya ekuhlanganiseni okujulile eShayina, ziya ngokuya zenza imisebenzi eyinhloko njengokuthenga kanye nocwaningo nentuthuko.
Isikhungo socwaningo nentuthuko nokuhlolwa esiqalwe ngoNovemba odlule yiVolkswagen eHefei, esifundazweni sase-Anhui, sibonisa lesi siguquko. Lesi sikhungo sivumela ukuthuthukiswa okuphelele kwezinkundla zezimoto ngaphandle kweJalimane, kusukela emqondweni kuya ekwethulweni emakethe, kunciphisa imijikelezo yokuthuthukiswa ngamaphesenti angaba ngu-30 futhi kuvumela inkampani ukuthi iphendule ngokushesha esidingweni semakethe.
Inhlolovo yayo yebhizinisi ka-2025/2026, iGerman Chamber of Commerce eChina (AHK China) yathi amaphesenti angu-93 abaphendulile bahlose ukuqhubeka nokuzibandakanya emakethe yaseChina, okubonisa ithemba elikhulu kunonyaka odlule. Cishe amaphesenti angu-65 athi bayayethemba intuthuko yezomnotho yaseChina eminyakeni emihlanu ezayo.
Ucwaningo nentuthuko kuvele njengesinye sezinto ezibalulekile ekutshalweni kwezimali kwaseJalimane eminyakeni emibili edlule, kusho uMaximilian Butek, umqondisi omkhulu kanye nelungu lebhodi leGerman Chamber of Commerce eChina yeMpumalanga China. Uthe leli su alibonisi nje kuphela ukucatshangelwa kwezindleko kodwa futhi nokubeka isikhundla kusenesikhathi ukuze kube nokuncintisana esikhathini esizayo. ■